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Find Great Deals on an Auction Take Advantage of Dutch Auctions When sellers offer multiple units of the same item, the Dutch auction is one of the best methods to sell off the lot. As a bidder, your job is not only to understand the rules of Dutch auctions, but also to equally employ effective bidding tactics that can help you maximize your chances of winning while minimizing your final cost. Dutch Pricing and the Winner's Circle First off, a quick reminder about the rules of winning in a Dutch auction: For starters, the winning bidders need to pay only the lowest successful bid price at the auction's close. Although you might have bid as high as, say, $30, if the lowest winning bidder won at $20, then all winning bidders pay $20 for each item they've won. To win, you need to ensure you're in the "winner's circle"--the population of bidders who have successfully secured the right to claim some quantity of units up for auction. Remember that the highest bidders will be able to claim whatever quantity of units for which they had bid, the second highest for their quantity of desired units, and so on down the line until all units have been claimed. If you're the lowest winning bidder, you'll be able to claim only the quantity that is left, which might be less than what you originally desired. Still, you're in the winner's circle and you'll be getting at least some quantity of the goods. Bubble Economics In Dutch auctions, the economics of supply and demand commingle with the concept of the auction "bubble." Simply put, when multiple bidders have accounted for the complete quantity available in a Dutch auction, they create a competitive coexistence that leaves one or more bidders precariously hanging on at the low end of the winner's circle, they're deemed as being "on the bubble." This means that they're winning status easily can be negated by another bidder who bids slightly more than they did, thus knocking them "off the bubble" and out of the winner's circle. Difficult to picture? How about a simple table to illustrate the bubble? For purposes of demonstration, assume an available quantity of 12 units and a minimum bid of $25:
A quick look at the table shows Bidder #1 is on the bubble, easy to knock out of the winner's circle with a bid of $26. Of course, if you decide you want to bid that amount in this auction scenario, then you'll be on the bubble. The better strategy is to bid outside the bubble--that is, to bid higher than the lowest bidders, yet not as high as the highest bidder. (Remember that you only need to pay the lowest successful bid price.) Therefore, in this mock auction, your wisest bid (as new Bidder #6) would be for $29, resulting in the new scenario in this updated table:
Notice how you've bumped Bidder #1 cleanly off the bubble, but rather than assume his vulnerable standing, your offering of $29 allows you to flank your bid by Bidders 2, 3, and 4. In the best end-of-auction result, you might end up paying only $27 (the lowest successful bid) for the one unit you want, though you might end up paying the full $29 but only if additional bidders stake claim to all seven units behind yours. Chances are, your position outside the bubble should guard you from such an overtaking. This isn't fail-safe of course: a new bidder (or bidders) could come along to claim some or all of the units at a price higher than yours or Bidder #5's, but you see how this strategy gives you the best opportunity to win the unit you want without committing a bid at the highest end. Sniping, Dutch Style Yankee Doodle Dupe
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